Thursday, August 25, 2011

NFC North Predictions - 4th Place: The Minnesota Vikings


Over the next couple of posts, I will be previewing the NFC North division for this season. It's great to have football back, and this will be the only division I'll look into in-depth. I will release my full NFL predicitions on September 6th, two days before the New Orleans Saints travel to Green Bay to take on the Packers!

We'll start at the bottom of the division and work our way up. Today's team will be the 4th place Minnesota Vikings:

Minnesota Vikings:
2010 Record: 6-10
2011 Record: 7-9

Key Departures: QB Brett Favre, WR Sidney Rice, LT Bryant McKinnie, DT Pat Williams, LB Ben Leber, S Madieu Williams, DE Ray Edwards

Key Additions: QB Donovan McNabb, DT Remi Adoyle, LT Charlie Johnson

The Minnesota Vikings 2010 season was...uh...a disaster.

Coming off of a dominating season at 11-5 and coming one 3 yard Brett Favre scramble from the Super Bowl, the wheels fell off. The Vikings endured a season full of sex scandals, a moody wide receiver, and it got so bad that their stadium broke! Ouch.

Good news is the toilet has been re-inflated and will be ready to go when the Vikings take on the Dallas Cowboys Saturday night. The only problem is that the product on the field won't be much improved from the one seen at the last Vikings home game.

The Vikings have lost a lot, but some of them are viewed as interchangable pieces. Brett Favre was awful last year, and some people think that it was because Favre had his mind on the Jenn Sterger thing. The Vikings lost their coach, but he was replaced by one of the most highly regarded assistants in the NFL. They also lost Ben Leber and Madieu Williams, who will most likely be replaced at a lower cost.

However, the one move that may have giant reprocussions is the release of Bryant McKinnnie. I've given McKinnie his fair share of verbal abuse, but it doesn't hide the fact that he could block a body if he really wanted to. McKinnie was a starter at left tackle for almost every game he played as a Viking, and on his good days the quarterback wouldn't get touched. On his bad days, uh oh...

This wouldn't be too bad of a move if the Vikings had a normal offseason, but Charlie Johnson has to learn the offense within a month as opposed to three. The Vikings seem confident that he can do it, but Johnson has given up some nasty blindside sacks in the preseason. Hopefully, Johnson can improve as the season comes along and keep Donovan McNabb from taking some nasty hits.

Speaking of McNabb, he is the new Viking quarterback. The Vikings selected QB Christian Ponder out of Florida State with the 12th pick in the NFL Draft. At the time, the Vikings said they viewed him as their version of Matt Ryan or Mark Sanchez (Quarterbacks who started right out of college and had immediate success.), but then came the lockout. The Vikings will play it safe and give McNabb the starting job and Ponder will sit and wait at least one season.

The receiving corps also took a big blow when Sidney Rice decided to join Tarvaris Jackson in Seattle. Rice claims the Vikings didn't call him to negotiate after the lockout, but he was offered a lucrative contract before the lockout began, which Rice rejected. This leaves Percy Harvin as the only reliable target in the receiving game. The Vikings signed Michael Jenkins to try and give the outside receiver spot some credibility, but he projects to be a possession receiver. The Viking offense will need Bernard Berrian to revert back to his days of being a downfield threat to be successful.

The defense may need some help. The Vikings let Pat Williams go, and Kevin Williams is now dealing with a foot injury plus a two game suspension for his 2008 Drug Test. The defensive line also lost Ray Edwards, and the Vikings hope that Brian Robison and Everson Griffen can fill that void.

At linebacker, the only loss was Ben Leber, who may be considered expendible because of the rise of Erin Henderson. Henderson was scarcely used by Brad Childress, but played a lot once Leslie Frasier took over. The tryout impressed Frasier enough to let Leber walk so it will be interesting to see how Henderson does. If Henderson starts in the regular season, he will do so next to his brother EJ. That would mark the first time two brothers have started in the same linebacking corps in NFL history.

The secondary continues to be a mess, as the Vikings released Madieu Williams and did nothing to adress their aging cornerbacks. Antoine Winfield isn't getting any younger and Cedric Griffin is coming off of two torn knee ligaments. Chris Cook and Asher Allen haven't looked impressive in preseason and it's opened the door for a guy like ROCHESTER JOHN MARSHALL ALUM MARCUS SHERELS (cheap pop), to compete for a spot on the roster.

(507 Note: If Sherels makes the team, he will be the first JM alum to play in the NFL since Darrel Thompson did it for the Green Bay Packers in the early 90's.)

So with all of this, where will the Vikings wind up in the 2011 season? The same place they were last season: last place.

It seems like the other teams in the division have passed the Vikings by. Even the Detroit Lions are on the up and coming, but the Vikings should be a somewhat better team this year despite this prediciton.

The Vikings will hover around the .500 mark for most of the season, and finish with a 7-9 record. This may even be a high mark considering for what the Vikings lack on offense and defense. The Vikings also lack true depth which would prevent them from making any sort of Packer-like run late in the season.

Although Frasier will never admit it, the Vikings are in a rebuilding stage. For the Vikings to have any success in the future, they will need to develop Christian Ponder as an effective quarterback and surround him with talent offensively and defensively to make any sort of run.

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